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Whether you have been around the sports betting game for a while, or are new and have been following the advice found on this site, chances are you've been to sites like Covers.com while doing research on upcoming games. Chances are you have also noticed the little "consensus" tidbit next to each game, telling you which team the public thinks will win. You could see that a team has a 70% popular opinion and feel like that could be quite a good bet for you to make. While nothing is ever certain on the globe of sports betting, this feeling is normally incorrect.
Among the most significant concepts to be aware of when betting on sports is this: in the event the public won more than they lost, sports books would cease to exist. That is simplifying things just a little, of course, but in many instances that's a true statement. Casinos and sport books will be in business to make money--lots of money. If they are losing money in a particular area, they're going to either change the guidelines or stop offering it entirely. Considering that the world of learn online gambling site - just click the following page, sport books is alive and thriving, it really is then safe to assume that they may be making money and that, over time, the public loses their money.
I have been telling people to subscribe to the theory of reverse popular opinion for years now. As will be the case with a great deal of the advice I have offered here at SportBooksReview, I'm not suggesting that folks blindly bet against the team with higher public support every night--just keep it in mind when doing your research. You will discover some situations where observing the public consensus and comparing it to line movement may be very eye-opening, and these are the situations the place you can pounce.
Even as we discussed in our Line Movement article, there are a number of aspects that could cause sport books to move the line. One particular factor is one team getting decidedly more money wagered on it than the other, creating a scenario where the books would lose a big total amount if one team wins. Books would want to have a good, even sum of money bet on both sides of a game, so that no matter which team wins, they'll come out on top due to the juice (newbies: betting $110 to win $100, the $10 is the juice). This really is why it is a good idea to take a quick peek at the consensus percentages together with the line movement for the games you want to bet on--there can sometimes be some very useful hidden information to give you one benefit.
When doing your investigation, if you happen to find out a game where the general public is extremely heavily betting on one team, say 70% or higher, yet the line did not move from it's original number, then you have to ask yourself why that is. If the public is betting most of their cash on a team, however the books don't move the number to attract betters for the other team, then it's telling you something. Either the books are confident that the public will lose, or even the big-money sharp betters have already made their bets on the other team. No matter what, this is a significant red flag. Again, do not blindly bet your hard earned money on this strategy, but there will be situations where these numbers are too strong to ignore.
Generally speaking, I like fading the public--especially when there's a strong public consensus betting on the underdog in a game. When you surely already know, the common theme of my articles is research--we're talking about your money here, so it's extremely essential that you make every effort to locate one advantage before you make your bet. As will be the case with a lot of my advice, this is not meant to be a one size fits all strategy, but part of a bigger overall strategy of doing your homework and ultimately finding solid money-making opportunities. If you follow the advice I have offered within this article and combine it with some of my other strategies, you will win money--the only question is: the amount?
